Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Biden against Trump is happening. What other choices do we have?

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A potential round two between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is looking likely, given their success in the recent Republican and Democratic primaries. Both candidates, however, have their fair share of issues and aren’t exactly crowd favorites. The upcoming election seems like a showdown of negativity, with Republicans trying to paint Biden as old and weak, while Democrats are suggesting that a second Trump term could mean the end of democracy.

So, what’s the other option? If history repeats itself, like in 2020 or 2016, the winner will probably just edge past the loser in a few key states. This opens the door for third-party or independent candidates to influence the outcome, even though winning might be a long shot for them.

There are third-party options like the Libertarian Party and the Green Party. Despite not having huge followings, their votes in key states can make a difference in close elections. Some argue that in 2016, strong third-party candidates took votes away from major candidates, potentially impacting the result.

Then there are independent candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West. Kennedy has a famous name and backers, while West is running under a new party called Justice for All. Additionally, a group called No Labels is exploring a centrist candidate, possibly with a Republican and a Democratic on the ticket.

Getting on the ballot is a big challenge for independent candidates, as seen in Kanye West’s 2020 campaign. Kennedy is working on signatures in swing states like Nevada and New Hampshire, while West is already on the ballot in a few states.

Polls show that when third-party candidates are included, the dynamics change. Trump, Biden, Kennedy, and West all get a share, and support seems to shift based on party lines. However, polls can be tricky, and independent candidates often lose support as Election Day approaches.

Democrats seem more worried about independent candidates, especially those associated with the No Labels campaign. They fear it could draw support away from Biden. Complaints have also been raised about coordination between Kennedy’s campaign and the supporting super PAC.

In the end, the 2024 election might not just be a two-horse race, with third-party and independent candidates potentially shaking things up.

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